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  • AI Cracked. Oil Hit $114

AI Cracked. Oil Hit $114

Chips plunged 6.7%, Meta sank nearly 7%, and small caps beat the Nasdaq as Wall Street turned cautious.

Market Minute
Market Minute

Oct 25, 2026

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AI Fears Return. Oil Surges. Wall Street Splits

Wall Street's biggest story this week was a sharp change in mood.

Investors started the week buying stocks outside tech. Then doubts about AI spending hit chipmakers and major tech firms. By Thursday, the Nasdaq had plunged 2.6% in one day. Meta fell nearly 7%. Chip stocks crashed 6.7%.

Oil added another problem. Brent crude surged above $113 as fears of supply cuts grew. Investors bought government bonds, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield below 5%.

Yet the whole market did not fall apart. Through Thursday, the Dow was up 1.7% for the week. Small caps gained 2.3%. The S&P 500 was nearly flat.

The message was clear: investors were moving away from costly tech stocks and looking for better value elsewhere.

What Moved

Week of October 19–23

  • The Dow gained 1.7% through Thursday.

  • The S&P 500 rose just 0.1%.

  • The Nasdaq fell 0.5%.

  • The Russell 2000 climbed 2.3%.

  • Chip stocks plunged 6.7% on Thursday.

  • Nvidia fell 4.4% on Thursday.

  • Meta sank nearly 7%.

  • Tesla lost about 3.1%.

  • The 10-year Treasury yield fell below 5%.

  • Brent crude climbed above $113.

  • Gold fell about 2.4% on Thursday.

  • Jobless claims dropped to 194,000.

Why It Moved

Three forces drove the week's action.

AI spending raised new fears. Investors questioned whether tech firms would earn enough to justify their huge costs.

Oil prices surged. Rising energy costs raised fresh fears about inflation. Money moved between stocks. Investors sold some tech shares but kept buying other parts of the market.

The result was a split. The Nasdaq struggled while the Dow and small caps held up better.

Monday: Buyers Return

The week began with a rebound in tech stocks. The Nasdaq rose 1.1% as investors bought chip and AI-linked shares.

But the recovery did not settle the bigger question. AI firms are spending huge sums on chips, data centers, and power. Investors want proof that those costs will lead to lasting profits.

Tuesday: The Dow Takes the Lead

The Dow rose about 1.0% on Tuesday. Healthcare stocks helped lift the index, while tech shares lagged.

This was an early sign of the week's split. Investors were still buying stocks, but they were becoming more selective.

Companies with steadier sales looked more appealing than firms whose value depended on years of future AI growth.

Wednesday: AI Spending Takes Center Stage

Investors focused on earnings and the cost of building AI.

Meta reported strong sales, but its plans for more spending raised concerns. Tesla also faced questions about its growth plans and future costs.

The market wanted more than promises. It wanted to know when AI spending would pay off.

Thursday: Chips Crash 6.7%

Thursday brought the week's biggest shock.

The Nasdaq plunged 2.6%. The S&P 500 fell 1.21%. Chip stocks crashed 6.7%.

Meta lost nearly 7%. Nvidia fell 4.4%. Tesla dropped about 3.1%.

Yet the Dow edged higher. Small caps also rose.

That split matters. The damage was worst in tech, not across the entire market. Investors were questioning the cost of the AI boom, not rejecting every part of the economy.

Friday: Markets Point Lower

Friday began with fresh pressure on U.S. stock futures.

Dow futures fell 0.59%. S&P 500 futures slipped 0.25%. Nasdaq 100 futures lost 0.12%.

Telecom stocks also came under pressure before the open. AT&T, Verizon, and T-Mobile fell more than 4% in premarket trading after reports that SpaceX was exploring plans for a nationwide wireless carrier.

Oil remained a concern. Brent crude traded near $114 as fears about Middle East supply grew.

The direction was cautious. Investors were still worried about AI costs, rising oil prices, and what both could mean for company profits and inflation. The next test was whether buyers would step in or the tech selloff would spread.

Why It Matters Now

The week left investors with five big questions.

  • Can AI firms prove that their huge spending will pay off?

  • Will oil stay above $110 and push inflation higher?

  • Can small caps keep beating tech stocks?

  • Will lower bond yields last if oil prices keep rising?

  • What will the Fed say at its October 27–28 meeting?

Each question matters for the next move in stocks and bonds.

Higher oil prices can make fuel, shipping, and other goods more costly. That could keep inflation high and limit the Fed's room to cut rates. At the same time, tech firms face a tougher test. Strong sales are no longer enough to calm investors when spending keeps rising.

The week's biggest lesson is simple: AI growth is not the same as AI profit.

Investors still see huge potential in AI. But they want to know how much it will cost, how long it will take, and which firms will earn the most. That is why chip stocks crashed while small caps held up. It is why Meta fell after strong sales. And it is why rising oil prices now matter even more.

The next move will depend on proof, not promises.

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