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Hike Odds Fell to 17%. Yields Still Hit a 24-Year High

Oct 8, 2026

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6 min read

Hike Odds Fell to 17%. Yields Still Hit a 24-Year High

The 10-year hit 5.364%, homebuilders fell 2.9%, and stocks finally gave back ground.

Market Minute
Market Minute
19% Hike Odds. Two New Records

Oct 7, 2026

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5 min read

19% Hike Odds. Two New Records

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit all-time highs as AMD jumped 2.8% and Marvell surged 5.8%.

Market Minute
Market Minute
Nvidia Hit $5.76T. Nasdaq Hit a Record

Oct 6, 2026

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5 min read

Nvidia Hit $5.76T. Nasdaq Hit a Record

October hike odds fell to 24%, Microsoft gained 1.5%, and 10 of 11 S&P sectors finished higher.

Market Minute
Market Minute
29,000 Jobs. Hike Odds Collapsed

Oct 5, 2026

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6 min read

29,000 Jobs. Hike Odds Collapsed

October hike odds fell to 22.7%, the Nasdaq hit a record, yet the 10-year still closed at 5.285%.

Market Minute
Market Minute
5.34% Yields. Then 29,000 Jobs Changed Everything

Oct 4, 2026

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6 min read

5.34% Yields. Then 29,000 Jobs Changed Everything

October hike odds collapsed to 16%, Brent slipped below $100, and the Nasdaq opened Friday up 1.27%.

Market Minute
Market Minute
The 10-Year Hit 5.34%. Then It Reversed

Oct 2, 2026

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4 min read

The 10-Year Hit 5.34%. Then It Reversed

Brent surged 4.4%, October hike odds fell below 30%, and stocks erased an early selloff.

Market Minute
Market Minute
3.4% Inflation. Hike Odds Fell to 37%

Oct 1, 2026

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5 min read

3.4% Inflation. Hike Odds Fell to 37%

The Nasdaq rose 0.24%, but the Dow lost 444 points as strong growth kept long yields high.

Market Minute
Market Minute
5.62% Yields. Then Hike Odds Collapsed

Sep 30, 2026

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5 min read

5.62% Yields. Then Hike Odds Collapsed

October hike odds fell from nearly 70% to 51.5% as stocks erased most of their losses.

Market Minute
Market Minute
5.25% Yields. $105 Oil. Stocks Finally Broke

Sep 29, 2026

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5 min read

5.25% Yields. $105 Oil. Stocks Finally Broke

The S&P 500 fell 0.77%, the 30-year hit 5.57%, and October hike odds crossed 70%.

Market Minute
Market Minute
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